THIS EVENT IS A LOSER!
Factsheet 78/2, 21 February 1998
The State Government has claimed that
Victoria benefited financially to the tune of $95.6 million from the 1996 Grand
Prix. Given the huge sums that have been spent, you wonder how that can possibly
be so. Save Albert Park has analysed the economic impact evaluation report, the
Auditor General’s report, the Grand Prix Corporation’s report, and many
others. What emerges is a
‘benefits scam’.
1.
How much is spent? These amounts are all taken from official reports.
|
Item |
$ first
year only |
$ per annum |
|
Establishment Costs |
|
|
|
Track construction |
13,200,000 |
|
|
Pit buildings |
10,900,000 |
|
|
Park restoration/mounds etc |
9,304,000 |
|
|
Grandstands, barriers, etc |
19,861,000 |
|
|
Grand Prix Corp funding, 1993-5 |
4,800,000 |
|
|
Compensation for damaged houses |
200,000 |
|
|
PTC tramway works |
1,600,000 |
|
|
MP&W tree removal, road works, etc |
1,410,000 |
|
|
VicRoads signage, road works |
2,940,000 |
|
|
Local Government planning costs[1] |
200,000 |
|
|
Total establishment cost |
64,415,000 |
|
|
Equivalent annual amount [2] |
|
8,752,000 |
|
|
|
|
|
Every year |
|
|
|
Grand Prix Corp administration |
|
5,328,000 |
|
Preparation of track, grandstands, etc. |
|
15,379,000 |
|
Marketing, promotion, catering |
|
8,416,000 |
|
Event ‘management and staging’[3] |
|
22,066,000 |
|
Park restoration and re-surfacing [4] |
|
|
|
Depreciation costs[5] |
|
4,580,000 |
|
Annual running costs |
|
55,769,000 |
|
Total annual costs (inc. establishment) |
|
64,521,000 |
As
well, an additional $15 million has been spent on Albert Park by Parks Victoria
since 1994, and a further $65 million has been spent on the construction of the
Melbourne Sports and Aquatic Centre.
2.
In the 1997 race, receipts were as follows:
|
Item
|
$ per annum |
|
Ticket
sales |
17,895,000 |
|
Corporate
packages (minus commissions) |
19,528,000 |
|
Sponsorships,
naming rights |
10,277,000 |
|
Other
revenues, interest, etc. |
770,000 |
|
Total
receipts |
48,470,000 |
|
Subtract
total annual expenses |
64,521,000 |
|
Total
annual deficit |
16,051,000 |
|
|
|
If
Victorian taxpayers are subsidising the race to the tune of $15 million for each
year the race is run at Albert Park,
are there really the $95.6 million benefits that the Government keeps
talking about? Please read on.
The ‘benefits’
to Victoria
An
independent report, ‘Grand Prixtensions’, prepared by consultants Economist
At Large & Associates (EAL) has found that much of the benefits claimed by
the Government is unproven and inflated by the misleading use of a gross benefit
figure.
The
Government has claimed a benefit of $95.6 million when its own report stresses
that “the community resource cost of the event” (such as the benefits
foregone from diverting public sector investment from schools, hospitals) must
be taken into account before benefits are estimated. Buried in the report is a
net benefit equivalent to $57 million. This is the amount the Government should
have used.
However,
the Government has claimed benefits for which there is no or insufficient
evidence (from the patron surveys). When
these are subtracted (see table below), the proven actual economic impact or net benefit (i.e. increase in Gross
State Domestic Product) is only $24 million.
|
Item |
They say |
EAL say |
|
Overseas
and interstate visitor expenditure note 6 |
37,800,000 |
23,7000,000 |
|
Retained
Victorian Expenditure note 7 |
10,600,000 |
5,900,000
note 10 |
|
Induced
Tourism note 8 |
6,000,000 |
n/a
note 10 |
|
Enhanced
Resident Expenditure note 9 |
9,900,000 |
n/a
note 10 |
|
Total direct benefit note
10 |
64,300,000 |
29,600,000 |
|
The
‘Multiplier’ note 11 |
1.487 |
1.487 |
|
Total gross economic benefit Total
net economic benefit 1996 |
95,600,000 57,000,000 |
43,930,000 23,670,000 |
|
Total estimated net wealth generated by the AFOGP
after 10 years |
|
21,870,000 |
When
the Grand Prix is analysed as an investment and wealth creation project, which
takes account of the annual losses of the Grand Prix, the findings are even more serious. ‘Grand Prixtensions’ finds that Victoria’s investment
in the Grand Prix would yield only $22 million after a 10 year period, a minus
20% return on investment. A
very cautious alternative investment of the taxpayers’ funds could have earned
Victoria $128 million.
The
report concludes that the Government’s claim that the Grand Prix is a an
economic winner “is simply not sustained on the evidence”(p.130).
6. The NIEIR report claims the GP attracted 5,178 international and 11,738
interstate visitors. The patron surveys fail to ask the key question - Would
you have visited Melbourne in March 1996 if the Grand Prix were not held?
EAL believe that the number of visitors is over-estimated.
7.
‘Retained Victorian Expenditure’ is
claimed to be the money spent by Victorians who would otherwise have gone to
Adelaide and spent it there! $10.6
million is an extraordinarily high estimate and is not supported by the 1992
Adelaide evidence.
8.
‘Induced Tourism’ refers to those
who saw the event on TV and just had to book a holiday in Melbourne as a result!
$6 million represents about 25,000 visitor nights every year! If you
believe this you believe in the tooth fairy. The government’s report admits
there is no evidence on the impact of the international exposure from major
events.
9.
‘Enhanced Resident Expenditure’ is
the money that Melburnians spent on the race that they wouldn’t have spent on
something else. In other words,
money from their savings. And this at a time when all governments are scolding
us for not saving enough!
10.
None of these three items is
traditionally included in Major Event Impact Studies.
They weren’t included in the 1992 Adelaide Grand Prix study,
the 1995 Melbourne International Festival study or the 1995 Tennis Open
study.
11.
Any original expenditure by visitors
has a flow-on effect in the economy. This is called the ‘multiplier’ effect.
To turn $64.28 million (which is itself questionable) into $95.6 million,
the government has used an effective multiplier of 1.487.
In contrast, the Adelaide GP study used 1.09, and the Sydney Mardi Gras
used 1.2.
[1]. Planning and other costs of other government departments have not been released.
[2]. This is the annualized cost of the $64 million over 10 years, including interest payments and repayment of capital to the Victorian tax-payer.
[3]. The secret franchise fee paid to Bernie Ecclestone is believed to be included in this figure.
[4]. It is not clear whether the AGPC pays the full restoration costs.
[5]. Most of the permanent Grand Prix structures have been passed to Parks Victoria which will carry the depreciation costs ($1.28 million in 1996-97).
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