Uniya Newsletter: Autumn 1995, p 9. The CPA: the End Game Roque Raymundo outlines the last days of the Comprehensive Plan of Action. (Roque Raymundo is a human rights lawyer with the Jesuit Refugee Service, Bangkok.) LARGE NUMBERS of Vietnamese boat people will still be in camps by the end of 1995, unless there is a dramatic increase in the current rates of return from host countries, or draconian measures are imposed. The governments concerned, as well as the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees [UNHCR] and non-government organisations [NGOs] have long since agreed that "a clear message" must be sent. Generally they have succeeded. Most Vietnamese remaining in the camps know that there is no other option than a return to Vietnam. The message has certainly been received - but it has not produced the desired effect. People still stay in the camps. Some still cling to a futile hope. Many have lost the capacity to make rational decisions for themselves after years of living in a largely dysfunctional social environment. Still others opt to stay, preferring not to return and face the shame of failing to fulfil a personal dream, or guilt of disappointing the hopes of those who invested in their journey overseas. Some parents in Vietnam, as well as some caregivers in camps and detention centres, still disallow their children/wards to return, generally for their own ends and often to the children's detriment. Governments and UNHCR remain convinced of the logic of "humane deterrence", believing that people will return home voluntarily if camp conditions are made more severe. The last few months of 1994 and the start of this year saw great reductions in the services available in first asylum camps, with only "basic services" permitted to continue. In at least three first asylum countries, official assistance for primary education was withdrawn, though education is seen by many NGOs, as well as UNHCR, as a necessary basic service for children. Restrictions on movements were imposed and "unnecessary privileges" curtailed. Camp populations in Thailand and Malaysia were recently segregated according to individuals' attitude to repatriation. In zones housing those who refuse voluntary return, conditions are much more severe than for intending returnees. The effect is not difficult to predict. In Malaysia, an increase in voluntary repatriation applications was noted after the announcement that primary education was about to be withdrawn. But will the trend continue? Experience shows that humane deterrence policies initially force some to return, but in the long-term serve only to cloud the minds and harden the hearts of many others, preventing their making a rational decision. Withdrawal of services, along withthe departure of NGO workers/volunteers (some of whom find leaving in such circumstances stressful, even traumatic) and the largely unreported but continuing abuses of human rights, combined with neglect on the part of UNHCR and government officials, all result in increasing anxiety and stress among camp populations. In Thailand, a week after mental health services were discontinued, a neglected patient committed suicide. Domestic violence and cases of severe depression are common in most camps and detention centres. On occasion hunger strikes are staged, just one kind of desperate bid to obtain refugee status. Women, children and other vulnerable persons suffer most. Unaccompanied minors, including many who are technically "aged-out", remain in all camps. The last CPA Steering Committee Technical Meeting set a deadline for the return to Vietnam of all minors in whose "best interest" repatriation had been determined. That deadline has passed long since. Greater resources and greater cooperation between Vietnam, UNHCR and first asylum governments are needed if the operational difficulties obstructing the young people's speedy return are to be overcome. Another group deserving greater consideration are the screened-in cases rejected for resettlement. Many have been rejected by two or more resettlement countries. Many have waited for years, subjecting themselves to the vagaries of the screening process, meanwhile suffering inhumane conditions in the camps. A modicum of sensitivity indicates how vulnerable they will be, if after all they have been through, these acknowledged refugees are told they must return to Vietnam anyway. A good number have been rejected for reasons that rendered them vulnerable in the first place, such as physical or mental handicap or age. This difficult problem warrants serious reconsideration on the part of resettlement countries of their commitments. Refugee flows from Indo-China have stopped. To the extent that the Comprehensive Plane of Action contributed, it can be called a success. But the task of aiding the tens of thousands of people still to return remains. UNHCR and first asylum governments, along with the other CPA signatories, should seriously re-examine their roles and options in completing this difficult task. NGOs, including overseas Vietnamese communities, as well as human rights advocates and other concerned individuals should all weigh the implications of their actions at this critical stage.