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Alan Dupont
East Asia Imperilled:
Transnational Challenges to Security
CUP, $39.95pb, 336pp, 0 521 01015 2
David Goldsworthy (ed.)
Facing North:
A Century of Australian Engagement with Asia Volume 1: 1901 to the
1970s
MUP, $59.95hb, 544pp, 0 522 84953 9
Nicholas Tarling
Southeast Asia: A Modern History
OUP, $59.95pb, 566pp, 0 19 558397 3
HERE
ARE THREE useful books on Australia and its neighbours, covering
the past, the present and the future a good range, indeed.
Facing North relates the history of Australia's 'engagement'
with 'Asia' from Federation to the 1970s, with much lively material
from diplomatic papers. Nicolas Tarling's thematic history of Southeast
Asia provides a solid reference work. Alan Dupont's East Asia
Imperilled combines an argument for expanding traditional security
concepts to include concerns like environmental devastation, people
smuggling, and AIDS, with a chilling picture of future scenarios.
Facing
North, commissioned by Alexander Downer, comes out of the Historical
Section of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade. The eight
contributors take a broadly chronological approach, with sub-topics
and themes. The first three chapters go from 1901 to 1949. Chapter
Four, on Indonesia's struggle for independence from 1945 to 1949,
and Australia's involvement, is the only country-specific chapter.
Chapters Five to Seven cover the Cold War, security concerns, 'forward
defence', plus expansion of trade with Asia, and, from 1963 to 1977,
Southeast Asian conflicts and Australia's active role. The White
Australia Policy as a running sore is a constant theme; Indonesia
as a pre-eminent concern is another. Broader public attitudes are
regularly analysed, though not nearly as effectively as in David
Walker's excellent, must-read Anxious Nation: Australia and the
Rise of Asia 1850_1939 (1999). Chapter Eight examines significant
shifts in Australians' perception of 'Asia' in the 1960s and 1970s.
For a semi-official history, it is plain speaking. But, being mostly
a summary and a narrative, it lacks the zing of a compelling, and
preferably new, argument. Still, there are many sharp observations
about failures and missed opportunities along the way. Four 'themes'
are drawn out in the conclusion: sensible, but unremarkable.
It
is lively in several ways. First, the use of material from official
files letters, telegrams, memoranda, submissions, handwritten
notes in the margins gives sharpness and immediacy to the
narrative, presenting human beings wrestling with events over which
they have little control as they try to create effective Australian
policies. This adds greatly to the analyses of the 1936 tariff dispute
with Japan, Australian support for Indonesia's Revolution, interventions
in Indochina, Casey's failures in Cabinet, opposition to Indonesia's
confrontation campaigns, changing policy towards China, and especially
the twenty pages on Australia, Indonesia and East Timor. Second,
there are substantial analyses of major departmental rivalries and
feuds. Foreign policy development is much more than Foreign Affairs
and the Cabinet, though it often seems hard to make students believe
it. Here, it is done well. Third is the highlighting of many men
(all men, it seems) who debated, struggled and shaped policy, often
flawed, sometimes far-sighted: from Latham to Burton, Kirby and
Critchley, Tange, Renouf and Jockel. Fourth, the book is handsomely
produced, with many good photographs: good because they emphasise
that 'engagement' with Asia requires human effort on all sides.
There
is much about Australian diplomacy and diplomats here, but a glaring
omission is a sociological look at who they were, at recruiting
and training, and at how conservative career structures affected
ambitions and ideals. Another omission is discussion of the contribution
of Australian intelligence services. It's strange: I don't think
Australians or 'Asians' would keel over if they knew Australia had
spies, or that intelligence organisations fought hard to advance
their own views. This is oddly prim and, by omission, deceitful.
Maybe they're in the promised second volume.
Nicholas
Tarling's history of Southeast Asia is massive. It covers nearly
two thousand years, includes much compressed historical detail and
analysis, few illustrations (just five maps), and feels like a house
brick. It is called a 'modern history', although it starts from
the first peoplings of the region. But then the bulk of each of
its four main parts emphasises the last few hundred years, particularly
the last century.
This
history is elegant, the thematic structure exhilarating. There are
four main theme chapters: Peoples and States; Environment and Economics;
Societies and Commitments; Protest and Politics; each with thematic
subsections. The way in which the colonial empires and the Japanese
occupation are subsumed, merely as parts of the experience of the
region, strikes me as an elegant form of organisation. Its structure
sends a message about how to understand the histories of the many
peoples in the region, and the nation-states they now find themselves
caught up in. The Contents page, themes and sub-themes without 'Historical
Periods', is a checklist for understanding the region.
The
symmetry is seen in Part One, which begins with a section on the
region's people's early attempts to form states, agricultural and
commercial kingdoms, and ends with a section on 'regionalism', with
their descendants, many centuries later, after various forms of
outside influence and control, asserting a regional approach in
a globalising, post-colonial world and, again from that first
section to the last in Part Four (separatism), where these same
descendants are struggling with attempts to redraw the nation states,
whose borders mostly come out of colonial rule. It is powerfully
conceived.
With
his second history of Southeast Asia, Tarling emphasises his comparative
perspective across the region, and world history. I wish he had
gone considerably further. Within his themes, there is substantial
chronological history of what are now Malaysia, Indonesia, Vietnam,
Thailand and so on. I found much of it hard going. There are so
many facts! My head bulged with them, I dreamed of them at night,
and wondered 'what are they for? who are they for?'. Such lucid
compression is a skill, but I wanted less of it and more of Tarling's
comparative reflections, and of world-history themes.
Tarling
has a gift for the telling quote, whether from players across the
centuries or from scholars. These are enlivening. He acknowledges
scholars handsomely. He has a good wry turn of phrase on occasion.
Final
gripes. There are not many women in this large work, except for
cited scholars. In a work that attempts to enter people's minds
across centuries their identities, religions, obligations,
political beliefs it is a glaring omission to have no section
on sexuality or gender. It is good to see East Timor included, but
the treatment is spotty and unsatisfactory. And it really needs
a good glossary: for example, mercantilist, cadastral, sodalities,
dyarchy, apotropaic. Crikey!
The
freshest material and views come in Alan Dupont's East Asia Imperilled.
It's not necessary to buy into the book's argument about redefining
concepts of security to include the fast-developing non-military
transnational threat (for example, environmental devastation, drugs
and people-smuggling, AIDS) that are detailed here so chillingly,
although that issue is interesting too. It is the perils themselves
water wars, food shortages, crime links, government mismanagement
their interconnectedness, their transnational scale, and
their likely effects, that amaze and alarm. Dupont argues:
a
new class of transnational threats is emerging which will be increasingly
influential in determining East Asia's strategic future
Environmental
degradation, UPMs [unregulated population movements] and transnational
crime are representative. Far from being peripheral or irrelevant
to the security concerns of states, as realists maintain, their
capacity to destabilise states internally as well as to aggravate
relations between them is real and rising.
The
main argument about these threats as 'security' issues is presented
in the Introduction, Chapter One and the Conclusion, where Dupont
argues for a 'three concentric circles' approach, a new template,
and extended security. Dupont is good at summing up the 'realist'
perspective, which 'has dominated ... Western thinking about security
since the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648', and its alleged current
'conceptual parsimony'.
As
he says, that's the background he came from himself. He anticipates
how his new concepts will be challenged by realists, partly for
fear that 'too broad an interpretation of security could distract
them from their core business'. And partly because a causal connection
needs to be established between these threats and conflict, for
them to be regarded as security issues. It is not yet easily done.
There
are ten 'empirical' chapters on resource scarcity, population growth,
climate change, undocumented labour migration, drug-trafficking
and AIDS, synthesising a host of studies. Dupont and his research
assistant Jena Hamilton have done a big job, with seventy-six pages
of notes.
I
used to dislike the word 'transnational', thinking it should be
restricted to railways. I am a convert now. These threats are transnational
because of their sweep, because they are interconnected across East
Asia, and because dealing with them is beyond the scope of individual
governments, particularly those weaker in infrastructure, resources
and political will.
There
is much fine material in these chapters: deforestation, pollution,
an energy 'gap', nuclear waste, environmental refugees, triads,
yakuza, ethnic gangs, transnational criminal organisations linking
drug trafficking and HIV infection. Dupont regularly assesses the
likelihood of conflict, food crisis, water wars and so on, and positions
himself as the reasoned midpoint between the realists, and 'Malthusians'
and 'modern-day Cassandras'. Sometimes the detail is overwhelming,
with too many acronyms (IDU, EEZ, GMO, IPCC, IUU, ATS, TCO). But,
overall, it's chilling and riveting.
I
have been editing these remarks in Jakarta, in January 2002, with
record murky floodwaters climbing up from my soles to my knees,
and sloshing through the kitchen to make a coffee. I'll endorse
any nightmare scenario that Dupont can produce. Looking back over
these three works, I am struck by their 'Australianness', with Australian
authors, Australian concerns, and many of Tarling's scholars from
Australian universities. I am frightened about the future. Most
of these scholars are in their fifties. Asian Studies seems to be
losing its clout in Australian universities, and Indonesian Studies
has been poorly since the East Timor atrocities in 1999. Even after
a hundred years, the engagement with Asia needs a newly invigorated
commitment from government.
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